Author Topic: The Fourth Turning  (Read 1292 times)

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Offline Windpower

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The Fourth Turning
« on: February 25, 2010, 07:12:00 AM »
a long but very thought provoking article
Often, our ignorance is not as great as our reluctance to act on what we know.

Offline n74tg

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Re: The Fourth Turning
« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2010, 10:17:40 AM »
I read about this book on John Mauldin's Investor Insight website...very interesting.
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Offline John Raabe

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Re: The Fourth Turning
« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2010, 11:39:15 AM »
I read this book about a year ago. A powerful analysis of history. It may not be anything more than a structured filter for historic information and is probably less useful as a predictor of the future. Remember that the recent financial crises came about by over reliance of traders on computer models based on a structured filter for historic financial information.

Also, the BurningPlatform version is a long but selective "review" of the book - not the book, but an interpretation of the book (which is an interpretation of history).

Still, reading this is a thought provoking process with much to consider. Much of it has the ring of truth, at least to me.  :-\

PS - I asked a friend what he thought we should do to prepare for this. "Get a house back in the woods with as much self-sufficiency as possible." was his advice.
None of us are as smart as all of us.

Offline glenn kangiser

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Re: The Fourth Turning
« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2010, 07:57:52 PM »
I am back far enough - I think I want to dig deeper now.  [waiting]
"Always work from the general to the specific." J. Raabe

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